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Stephen Auth
June 2 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

What could go right
June 2 2025

Sticking with our 6,500 year-end S&P 500 forecast.

June 9 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

10 minute read

Open seas ahead!
May 19 2025

Stock market returning to normal sailing conditions as we emerge from the Straits.

April 14 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

10 minute read

Navigating through the fog of the trade war
April 14 2025

Maintaining our moderate equity overweight as we slip past the reefs.

April 10 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

8 minute read

Approaching peak uncertainty in the Strait of the Sirens
April 3 2025

Adding to stocks, trusting the sailors.

April 2 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

8 minute read

Almost there
March 11 2025

As a soft patch emerges, opportunity to add to stocks is getting closer.

March 12 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

Reefs to starboard!
February 25 2025

A near-term slowdown may be emerging, but the longer-term upside is keeping the bears at bay…so far.

February 24 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

10 minute read

Sailing the straits while strapped to the mast
February 5 2025

Staying long-term positive through choppy waters.

January 27 2025
Markets/Economy .
Article

7 minute read

Strapped to the mast
January 21 2025

Preparing for volatility while staying positioned for a positive long-term outcome.

January 8 2025
2025 Outlook .
Article

13 minute read

A 'baker's dozen' of risks, with an upside tilt
January 7 2025

Potential surprises for the market in 2025 seem balanced; staying tilted toward stocks, with cash in reserve for a correction if it comes.

January 2 2025
Equity .
Article

5 minute read

Adding more logs to the Yuletide fire
December 13 2024

Moving more money out of Europe/Japan to US and emerging markets.

December 13 2024
2025 Outlook .
Article

4 minute read

Equity market outlook for 2025 and 2026
November 22 2024

Markets should rise toward 7,500 in 2026 as Trump’s growth agenda plays out and the chess game moves forward.

November 11 2024
Equity .
Article

10 minute read

Playing chess versus checkers
November 11 2024

Deciphering the outlook will depend on understanding we are in a chess game.

November 11 2024
Politics .
Article

2 minute read

Trump win gives Republicans strong mandate


November 6 2024

Federated Hermes CIOs react to the U.S. election.

November 5 2024
Markets/Economy .
Article

9 minute read

Stock market looking to run the table
October 22 2024

All five worries on the wall are fading as year-end approaches.

October 28 2024
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

Five areas of uncertainty we are monitoring
October 9 2024

Remaining cautiously bullish as market grinds into fourth quarter.

September 25 2024
Markets/Economy .
Article

8 minute read

One-and-a-half out of three ain't bad
September 25 2024

China bazooka follows Fed's big cut, fueling the cyclical trade; U.S. elections on deck.

September 13 2024
Equity .
Article

6 minute read

Enter the 'R' words
September 9 2024

‘R’otation continues, even as ‘R’ecession now in play.

September 9 2024
Equity .
Article

1 minute read

The 'Five Big Things' are still big
September 3 2024

Sticking with our broadening-out call as market moves our way.

September 3 2024
Markets/Economy .
Article

8 minute read

Five big things that have changed
August 13 2024

Reasons why we think the market will remain volatile and 'The Great Rotation' will continue.

August 12 2024
Markets/Economy .
Article

10 minute read

Not a 'Confidence at the Lows' moment...yet
August 6 2024

Holding to overweights in value and small cap stocks; too early to add back to growth.

August 12 2024
Markets/Economy .
Article

4 minute read

A little humility goes a long way
July 29 2024

Holding to rotation call as thesis playing out.

July 29 2024
Equity .
Article

3 minute read

Approaching a 'Humility at the Highs' moment?
July 10 2024

Selectively taking profits in stocks but maintaining positive stance.

July 9 2024
Equity .
Article

6 minute read

The good news and the bad as we return to normal
June 20 2024

Our optimistic market outlook has been right, but our 'broadening out' thesis has yet to work.

September 20 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

2 minute read

About that auto strike
September 20 2023

At the end of the day, it'll be a gift for competitors.

DISCLOSURES

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