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2 minute read
7 minute read
Preparing for volatility while staying positioned for positive long-term outcome.
5 minute read
A variable order of events will influence bond markets
A small number of people could have a large impact on the economy in 2025.
While it cut rates, uncertainty about Trump policies seem to give the Fed pause.
Moving more money out of Europe/Japan to US and emerging markets.
6 minute read
A look at the impact Trump's potential policies might have on international markets.
Resurgent inflation and stronger growth render the Fed’s rate-cutting plans uncertain.
10 minute read
Deciphering the outlook will depend on understanding we are in a chess game.
3 minute read
Republicans closing in on 'Red Trifecta.'
Powell rebuffed questions about the Fed's future, and his own, but his nebulous comments give the FOMC latitude.
Federated Hermes CIOs react to the U.S. election.
Noisy data and election uncertainty might slow Fed easing.
9 minute read
All five worries on the wall are fading as year-end approaches.
2 minute watch
2025 will come with clarity on interest rates and politics.
4 minute read
With inflation at a 3-year low, the Bank of England might cut rates further by year-end.
A strong quarter for bonds as a patient, diversified approach is rewarded
The longshoremen strike could have far-reaching consequences for the economy and markets.
Interest rates have fallen, but in the liquidity space, the sky has not.
8 minute read
China bazooka follows Fed's big cut, fueling the cyclical trade; U.S. elections on deck.
Fed easing means fixed-income investments should benefit from both factors of total return: price and income.
The outlook for money market funds remains buoyant.
Federal Reserve ‘recalibrates’ monetary policy.
The data did not support the large cut, but the Fed did not want to seem behind the curve.
The Fed’s half-point rate cut shows it still thinks the economy can avoid a recession.
Equities regained ground this week amid volatile trading and last week's tech-led sell-off.
‘R’otation continues, even as ‘R’ecession now in play.
Fed on track to begin cutting rates later this month.
The markets’ first test is Friday’s August jobs report.
1 minute read
Sticking with our broadening-out call as market moves our way.
Markets are yet again pricing in too many Fed cuts.
The predictive strength of the curve’s inversion has waned, but not disappeared.
Reasons why we think the market will remain volatile and 'The Great Rotation' will continue.
As rate cuts are up for debate, focus on the impact on the short end of the yield curve.
Holding to overweights in value and small cap stocks; too early to add back to growth.
The sell-off was sparked by the latest U.S. jobs data, but other things were in the mix.
The FOMC is back to considering both the labor market and inflation equally as it weighs cuts.
Holding to rotation call as thesis playing out.
Combination could chill the Fed longer than the consensus believes.
Markets are already pricing in potential November scenarios.
Rates won’t be higher forever.
Higher pricing reflects supply and demand in a changing world.
A gathering of professionals acknowledged five decades of money funds and sifted through issues in their future.
The presidential debate may be the only one in the election cycle.
Our optimistic market outlook has been right, but our 'broadening out' thesis has yet to work.
Despite dovish inflation data, Fed issues hawkish dots.
The Fed penciled in a cut this year even as it forecast higher inflation.
With the Fed on hold and tax collection over, assets resume flowing into liquidity products.
Fed likely to take the summer off.
Global Market Snapshot
Does today’s soft jobs report successfully change the Fed's narrative?
The Fed's game plan hasn't changed, but defeating inflation will take longer than it expected.
Historically, the last leg toward a given inflation target has often been the most difficult.
Much stronger-than-expected jobs report keeps Fed rate cuts on hold.
The Fed is not feeling pressure to cut rates.
The Fed's dot plot held the intrigue at the FOMC meeting.
The Fed is in no rush to cut rates.
1 minute watch
The expectation of rate cuts makes corporate bonds an attractive opportunity.
Magnificent Seven continue to outperform.
Strong reports have swayed expectations for rate cuts rather than the Fed's constant blaring.
Income and duration lead total return potential.
Remaining “Long and Strong” as earnings season and economic data vindicates optimists.
The Fed removed its tightening bias, opening the door to rate cuts.
After a bumpy 2023, small-cap U.S. stocks are in a good place.
Three things to watch in 2024.
The new regulations for money funds don't change their value proposition.
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