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6 minute read
4 minute read
The longshoremen strike could have far-reaching consequences for the economy and markets.
Interest rates have fallen, but in the liquidity space, the sky has not.
8 minute read
China bazooka follows Fed's big cut, fueling the cyclical trade; U.S. elections on deck.
3 minute read
Fed easing means fixed-income investments should benefit from both factors of total return: price and income.
2 minute watch
The outlook for money market funds remains buoyant.
Federal Reserve ‘recalibrates’ monetary policy.
The data did not support the large cut, but the Fed did not want to seem behind the curve.
2 minute read
The Fed’s half-point rate cut shows it still thinks the economy can avoid a recession.
Equities regained ground this week amid volatile trading and last week's tech-led sell-off.
‘R’otation continues, even as ‘R’ecession now in play.
7 minute read
Fed on track to begin cutting rates later this month.
The markets’ first test is Friday’s August jobs report.
1 minute read
Sticking with our broadening-out call as market moves our way.
Markets are yet again pricing in too many Fed cuts.
The predictive strength of the curve’s inversion has waned, but not disappeared.
Reasons why we think the market will remain volatile and 'The Great Rotation' will continue.
As rate cuts are up for debate, focus on the impact on the short end of the yield curve.
10 minute read
Holding to overweights in value and small cap stocks; too early to add back to growth.
The sell-off was sparked by the latest U.S. jobs data, but other things were in the mix.
The FOMC is back to considering both the labor market and inflation equally as it weighs cuts.
Holding to rotation call as thesis playing out.
Combination could chill the Fed longer than the consensus believes.
Markets are already pricing in potential November scenarios.
Rates won’t be higher forever.
Higher pricing reflects supply and demand in a changing world.
A gathering of professionals acknowledged five decades of money funds and sifted through issues in their future.
5 minute read
The presidential debate may be the only one in the election cycle.
Our optimistic market outlook has been right, but our 'broadening out' thesis has yet to work.
Despite dovish inflation data, Fed issues hawkish dots.
The Fed penciled in a cut this year even as it forecast higher inflation.
With the Fed on hold and tax collection over, assets resume flowing into liquidity products.
Fed likely to take the summer off.
Global Market Snapshot
Does today’s soft jobs report successfully change the Fed's narrative?
The Fed's game plan hasn't changed, but defeating inflation will take longer than it expected.
Historically, the last leg toward a given inflation target has often been the most difficult.
Much stronger-than-expected jobs report keeps Fed rate cuts on hold.
The Fed is not feeling pressure to cut rates.
The Fed's dot plot held the intrigue at the FOMC meeting.
The Fed is in no rush to cut rates.
1 minute watch
The expectation of rate cuts makes corporate bonds an attractive opportunity.
Magnificent Seven continue to outperform.
Strong reports have swayed expectations for rate cuts rather than the Fed's constant blaring.
Income and duration lead total return potential.
9 minute read
Remaining “Long and Strong” as earnings season and economic data vindicates optimists.
The Fed removed its tightening bias, opening the door to rate cuts.
After a bumpy 2023, small-cap U.S. stocks are in a good place.
Investors and markets differ in their expectations for rate cuts.
The Santa Claus Rally advanced most of our 2024 market call into 2023, but there’s plenty of room left for stock pickers as the market rally broadens.
Three things to watch in 2024.
The Fed now projects rate cuts in 2024, just not as many as the markets have.
Fed rate cuts not coming anytime soon.
As the economy slows across the board, the Fed is done hiking rates.
The markets have swung too far by forecasting multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024.
Despite Biden’s terrible polling, Democrats performed well in off-year elections, which should worry the GOP.
Financial markets rally on perceived Fed pause.
The Fed didn't hike. That doesn't mean it's done.
The Fed wants more time and data as it looks to December's meeting.
Will it keep the Fed in play?
The new regulations for money funds don't change their value proposition.
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