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6 minute read
3 minute read
Evidence suggests the move up in longer yields is nearing an end.
1 minute watch
Mortgage-backed securities may become more attractive relative to credit.
3 minute watch
As the Fed continues quantitative tightening, spreads widen.
2 minute read
The Fed opts against raising rates, but doesn't rule out another hike this year.
They've stabilized somewhat but still face pressures.
Rhetorically speaking, China may have long Covid.
Senior Portfolio Manager R.J. Gallo can think of seven reasons.
With the impact of its tightening still not apparent, the Fed opted for another modest rate hike.
High inflation hurts everyone.
4 minute read
Consensus has taken a beating but is still standing.
MBS issued by U.S. housing agencies could have advantages for investors if the economy slows.
5 minute read
Defensive positioning didn’t hurt the first half. In the second half, it may help.
2 minute watch
A mild recession may be inevitable.
Don’t fight the Fed. Don’t fight the tape either.
The Fed skipped a rate hike but suggested more could come.
Our southern neighbor is firing on all cylinders.
And the case for bond returns is getting stronger.
After one of the worst years ever for bonds, what might lure back investors who bailed?
Opportunities as varied as countries that fall under the emerging markets umbrella.
Munis may see heightened demand this year.
43 minute listen
Stubborn inflation, strong consumption data and a robust labor market are clouding the economy’s path.
Bond markets are caught in a variety of crosswinds.
Investors may find value in high-quality bonds.
Volatile markets can offer opportunities.
Banking sector turmoil has raised recession risks.
Fed Chair Powell made the case for another quarter-point hike amid the banking turmoil.
But banking issues brought to the fore this week are discomforting.
The words of the day are “caution” and “patience.”
Supply and demand dynamics are supporting the municipal bond market.
7 minute read
Inflation, consumer strength move bonds closer to the Fed. Stocks still keeping some distance.
The economy is facing stronger headwinds than the markets realize.
And that's creating challenges for fixed-income positioning.
An improved high-yield asset class might not flash the same signs for reentry as in past economic downturns.
Persistent inflation and the Fed’s efforts to fight it will lead to a mild recession, but investors can find opportunities across equity, fixed income and cash.
Rancor aside, with ‘extraordinary measures’ the debate over the U.S. debt limit has time to be resolved.
2022 was all about rates; this year is more nuanced.
Three things to watch in 2023.
The Fed pushes back against market expectations.
Pessimistic markets are pricing in low recovery conditions.
China may prioritize security in the global economy.
45 minute listen
Silvia Dall’Angelo, Donald Ellenberger and Steve Chiavarone discuss global inflation and whether the markets have already priced in a recession.
Municipal securities have much to offer if the economy slows.
Emerging markets stayed strong during rate hikes.
Wide corporate bond spreads are enticing, but the time to add to credit sectors hasn't come yet.
A weakening dollar and other trends bode well for EM debt.
Fed Chair Powell indicates the pace of hikes is not as crucial as arriving at the right place.
As they bide their time, investors should focus on strengthening portfolios.
With peak yields in sight, better times may be too.
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