Insights

3 minute read

Hard hit in 2008, the country's economy is now booming.

6 minute read

Congressional game of chicken continues with government shutdown.

9 minute read

Raising our estimates for economic growth.

3 minute read

Why yields are down but not out.

13 minute read

Introducing our 2027 S&P 500 price target of 8,600.

6 minute read

Investors are ignoring the missing pieces.

3 minute read

Poor consumer sentiment does not jibe with the strong spending that's taking place.

6 minute read

Strong back-to-school spending boosts the economy.

3 minute watch

Uncertainty remains, but China's fiscal support suggests waning risk and growing value for equities.

5 minute read

Don't look now, but smaller-cap stocks are making a stealthy comeback.

6 minute read

Fed launches easing cycle to address asymmetric risks.

7 minute read

The Federal Reserve is poised to relaunch its rate-cutting cycle.

5 minute read

Something changes when the benchmark takes on a life of its own.

3 minute read

BLS overstated employment for the last 12 months by nearly 1 million jobs, a revision all but ensuring a rate cut.

9 minute read

Sticking with our 'broadening out' call despite the caution the Fed’s cracked rearview mirror demands.

3 minute read

A confluence of favorable factors might boost smaller companies' returns.

8 minute read

Weak hiring in August augurs a Fed rate cut in September.

6 minute read

Housing, office buildings and retail are all under stress.

3 minute read

Data will only get you so far.

3 minute read

China’s economy has struggled with deflation due to overcapacity, but there is hope.

4 minute read

Fed’s Powell opens door to rate cut in Jackson Hole symposium speech.

6 minute read

Is the rollback of electronic vehicle mandates and subsidies pro-consumer or anti-environment?

6 minute read

Experience still matters.

6 minute read

Huge swing in trade in the second quarter skewed the data.

6 minute read

Trailing hard data catching up to yesterday’s soft data, even as today’s soft data signals rebound.

8 minute read

Weak July jobs report increases odds of a Fed rate cut.

7 minute read

In the wake of the passing of Trump’s signature bill, reducing the federal debt requires out-of-the-box thinking. 

4 minute read

The new reformist government looks to rebuild Europe's economic growth engine from the ground up.

8 minute read

In bull markets, you don't sell rallies, but buy dips, with rotation more likely than correction.

3 minute read

Sophisticated models are essential for data-driven investment management.

8 minute read

Chair Powell on the hot seat.

7 minute read

Stocks are on a tear, but investors may consolidate gains.

5 minute read

A trip to Egypt illustrates the value of influence.

8 minute read

The strong labor report for June likely keeps the Fed on pause in July.

3 minute watch

A brief history of quantitative investing.

6 minute read

Stocks mount powerful rebound despite policy concerns.

4 minute read

Outside of tech, public capital markets remain robust.

4 minute read

Thanks to advances in computing power, today's quant is not the quant of old.

7 minute read

Sticking with our long-term bullish call on stocks.

6 minute read

AI: It's here. It's everywhere. What's next?

7 minute read

Central bank waiting for fiscal and geopolitical policy developments to unfold before cutting rates.  

2 minute read

Is this the beginning of the end of US exceptionalism?

6 minute read

Storm clouds on the horizon, but confidence is rebounding.

1 minute read

With inflation under control, the Fed should cut rates twice later this year.

2 minute watch

With peak tariff uncertainty behind us, we think stocks should grind higher.

6 minute read

Sticking with our 6,500 year-end S&P 500 forecast.

5 minute read

Just when it seemed certain that retail sales will plummet from strong March/April levels, consumer sentiment has surged.

7 minute read

Equity and fixed-income investors are responding differently to tariff and fiscal policy uncertainty.

10 minute read

Stock market returning to normal sailing conditions as we emerge from the Straits.

5 minute read

Solid US economic data also helps as equities reverse their April freefall.

3 minute read

For now, Trump is 'just' insulting Fed Chair Powell, as the Treasury market has pushed back. 

3 minute read

Long a laggard, the sector has catalysts for outperformance.

7 minute read

Import surge pushes first-quarter GDP into the red.

7 minute read

Labor market remains solid, despite tariff uncertainty.

5 minute read

Trump's policy reversals buoy markets.  

3 minute read

Equity market neutral strategies offer potential for shelter amid volatility.

7 minute read

Should investors focus on solid hard data or weak soft data?

10 minute read

Maintaining our moderate equity overweight as we slip past the reefs.

7 minute read

Calculated well before the tariff announcement, the US added a robust 228,000 jobs in March. 

8 minute read

Adding to stocks, trusting the sailors.

3 minute read

Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are more aggressive than the markets were expecting.

2 minute read

Economic growth is now central to China's agenda.

4 minute read

Concern about Trump’s tariffs and sticky inflation seem to be deflating consumer confidence.

5 minute read

Fed stays in wait-and-see mode, but makes major changes to its forecast

3 minute read

Unless you're sure to be right and on time, you need a plan.

6 minute read

Bessent preaches short-term pain for long-term gains.

8 minute read

As a soft patch emerges, opportunity to add to stocks is getting closer.

2 minute read

It's been a momentous time in geopolitics. 

6 minute read

Maybe the Fed’s not done cutting rates this year, after all.

5 minute read

How the emerging trade war might impact the US economy and equities.

1 minute read

Why a short-term economic soft patch should give way to a strong second half for markets. 

6 minute read

Financial markets roiled by developments in D.C.

6 minute read

A near-term slowdown may be emerging, but the longer-term upside is keeping the bears at bay…so far.

4 minute read

DeepSeek drives China technology surge and broader market rally.

6 minute read

On the back of solid holiday retail sales, January's were dismal.

4 minute read

The rally broadens.

7 minute read

New year starts with hiring and wage growth.

10 minute read

Staying long-term positive through choppy waters.

7 minute read

Revisions are possible due to inventory and trade data.

2 minute read

The Fed kept rates steady, and Chair Powell kept his distance from Trump.  

4 minute read

The short term is not the enemy of the long term.

7 minute read

Preparing for volatility while staying positioned for a positive long-term outcome.

6 minute read

Peak policy uncertainty.

3 minute watch

The effect on international equities might depend on some Trump policies.

5 minute read

Stocks playing catch-up with bond market sell-off.

5 minute read

Employment strength should keep Fed on the sidelines for some time. 

2 minute read

Three things to watch in 2025.

13 minute read

Potential surprises for the market in 2025 seem balanced; staying tilted toward stocks, with cash in reserve for a correction if it comes.

2 minute read

Three things to watch in 2025.

6 minute read

As the Fed slows its pace, shoppers are increasing theirs.

2 minute read

The coming year may be more volatile than the one nearly past. 

5 minute read

Moving more money out of Europe/Japan to US and emerging markets.

3 minute read

Rate cuts and deregulation could help lead the segment higher.

6 minute read

Since the election, consumer and business sentiment has improved.

6 minute read

Labor market rebounds from October weather and strikes.

3 minute read

One reason is rate cuts.

4 minute read

The themes that matter for the coming year.

6 minute read

Confidence high and stocks higher as election gives way to holidays.

4 minute read

Markets should rise toward 7,500 in 2026 as Trump’s growth agenda plays out and the chess game moves forward.

4 minute read

Will rising post-election confidence boost holiday sales?

6 minute read

A look at the impact Trump's potential policies might have on international markets. 

5 minute read

Resurgent inflation and stronger growth render the Fed’s rate-cutting plans uncertain.

2 minute watch

The math of dividend investing is one that works out over years.

10 minute read

Deciphering the outlook will depend on understanding we are in a chess game.

3 minute read

Republicans closing in on 'Red Trifecta.'  

2 minute read

Federated Hermes CIOs react to the U.S. election.

7 minute read

Investors, voters and the Fed will likely look past the October jobs report distorted by hurricanes and strikes.

2 minute read

The GRANOLAS group of stocks are Europe’s equivalent of the Mag 7.

3 minute read

After a bumpy 2023, small-cap U.S. stocks are in a good place.

5 minute read

Could energy buck conventional wisdom?