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Inflation
September 15 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

Back to school
September 15 2023

School spending slows while inflation rises.

September 8 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

8 minute read

Future still foggy
September 8 2023

Data point in different directions.

August 25 2023
Monetary Policy .
Article

5 minute read

Higher for longer
August 25 2023

Powell uses Jackson Hole keynote to reiterate Fed’s vigilance to lower inflation.

July 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

Robust capex drives solid GDP
July 28 2023

Fed may remain vigilant.

July 25 2023
Equity .
Video

2 minute watch

Halfway there
July 25 2023

 The U.S. is likely already feeling the predicted “rocky landing.”

July 20 2023
Fixed Income .
Video

3 minute watch

The path to 2%
July 20 2023

High inflation hurts everyone.

July 13 2023
Equity .
Video

2 minute watch

Eyes peeled
July 13 2023

Investors should watch corporate earnings.

July 11 2023
Inflation .
Video

2 minute watch

History as a guide
July 7 2023

A mild recession may be inevitable.

July 7 2023
Equity .
Video

2 minute watch

Still standing
July 7 2023

The consumer is between tough headwinds and promising tailwinds.

June 28 2023
Equity .
Article

2 minute read

The dividend story remains the same
July 5 2023

Higher-for-longer rates can be beneficial for dividend strategies.

July 3 2023
Monetary Policy .
Article

3 minute read

Falling in line
July 3 2023

The markets have finally listened to hawkish Fed speak.

June 16 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

5 minute read

Hawkish pause
June 16 2023

Dichotomy between nominal and core inflation declines keeps Fed engaged.

May 12 2023
Equity .
Article

8 minute read

The key is to figure out what regime we're in
May 12 2023

That could determine if above- or below-average historical returns are likely.

May 5 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

7 minute read

'Sizzling' labor market report less impressive than it seems
May 5 2023

Barring the emergence of more bullish data, we expect the Fed to pause rate hikes this year.

May 3 2023
Monetary Policy .
Article

2 minute read

Could the latest be the last?
May 3 2023

The Fed raised rates again, but hinted it soon might be time to take a breather.

May 16 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

5 minute read

Bulls running out of air; bears running out of time
April 28 2023

With volatile markets ahead, stocks enter a period of limbo.

April 28 2023
Fixed Income .
Video

1 minute watch

Choppy waters
April 25 2023

Bond markets are caught in a variety of crosswinds.

April 28 2023
Liquidity .
Article

3 minute read

One Fed, two jobs
April 3 2023

The Federal Reserve’s dual function as regulator and policy-setter has been on display.

August 24 2023
Liquidity .
Article

6 minute read

Next steps
March 14 2023

The Fed’s response to the collapse of SVB puts pressure on the Treasury and the FOMC decision next week.

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

7 minute read

Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Market
March 3 2023

U.S. equity and fixed-income markets are pointing in different directions.

April 28 2023
Liquidity .
Article

4 minute read

Coming to terms
March 1 2023

Investors have begrudgingly capitulated to a still-hawkish Fed.

July 5 2023
Equity .
Article

7 minute read

Fifteen thousand dollars for a divorce? LOL!
February 24 2023

As long as Americans keep spending, higher for longer may rule the day.

April 28 2023
Equity .
Article

5 minute read

Retail sales rebound strongly in January
February 17 2023

Combined with persistent inflation, Fed likely to remain vigilant.

April 28 2023
Inflation .
Video

2 minute watch

Elevation sickness
February 17 2023

The Fed may pause this year, but a pivot is unlikely.

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

3 minute read

Six reasons why a recession might be unavoidable
February 15 2023

The economy is facing stronger headwinds than the markets realize.

June 12 2023
Inflation .
Infographic

2 minute read

Coming of age February 14 2023

Comparing the cost of becoming an adult across decades.

April 28 2023
International/Global .
Article

3 minute read

Staying the course
February 9 2023

Signs suggest Europe’s economy might avoid a serious downturn.

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

A barbell year
February 9 2023

Fundamentals suggest stocks could correct in the coming months before rallying into year-end.

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

7 minute read

Blowout jobs report
February 6 2023

The surge of hires in January likely keeps the Fed in hawk mode.

May 30 2023
Liquidity .
Article

3 minute read

Yield curveball
February 2 2023

The market is dismissing the Fed's determination to defeat inflation.

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

Inventory surge boosts fourth-quarter GDP
January 27 2023

Decent headline gross domestic product growth belies weakness in several core components.

January 17 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article Best case scenario
January 17 2023

Inflation cooling but labor market remains healthy.

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

5 minute read

Stock market seasonals flashing green
January 11 2023

Two market indicators suggest equities could enjoy a better year. 

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

6 minute read

Goldilocks jobs report
January 6 2023

But the ISM services decline was a bigger story.

January 17 2023
2023 Outlook .
Article Potholes remain, but bonds headed in right direction
January 5 2023

Three things to watch in 2023.

January 11 2023
2023 Outlook .
Article Sweet spot
December 29 2022

Three things to watch in 2023.

December 22 2022
2023 Outlook .
Article A gloomy winter
December 29 2022

Three things to watch in 2023.

December 15 2022
Markets/Economy .
Article Holiday spending slows
December 15 2022

Consumers are showing restraint amid still-high inflation.

December 15 2022
Monetary Policy .
Article Disconnect
December 14 2022

The Fed pushes back against market expectations.

December 8 2022
Equity .
Article No more glorious place than Phoenix this time of year
December 8 2022

A quick visit lifted spirits. Will Santa do the same for the markets?

April 28 2023
Markets/Economy .
Podcast

45 minute listen

Is recession around the corner?
December 7 2022

Silvia Dall’Angelo, Donald Ellenberger and Steve Chiavarone discuss global inflation and whether the markets have already priced in a recession. 

December 7 2022
Inflation .
Infographic

2 minute read

Higher Ed December 7 2022

College costs have soared. 

July 5 2023
Monetary Policy .
Article

7 minute read

Fed is getting what it wants for the holidays
December 6 2022

The U.S. economy is slowing across the board.

December 2 2022
Markets/Economy .
Article Lingering labor market strength
December 2 2022

The Fed can't like the strong job growth and surge in wages in November.

November 30 2022
Monetary Policy .
Article Just the facts
December 1 2022

FOMC voters must stick to the data to make their next decision on rates.

November 30 2022
Markets/Economy .
Article The case for munis
November 30 2022

Municipal securities have much to offer if the economy slows.

November 25 2022
Markets/Economy .
Article We need a little Thanksgiving
November 23 2022

But it's a lot more expensive this year.

November 23 2022
Equity .
Article Not to be a grinch
November 18 2022

Many reasons for a rally but don't expect it to last.

July 5 2023
Equity .
Article

8 minute read

The extremes lost Tuesday night
November 11 2022

Maybe everyone, including markets, could use a little boring.

November 9 2022
International/Global .
Article Is the dollar finally done?

November 9 2022

A weakening dollar and other trends bode well for EM debt.

November 7 2022
Markets/Economy .
Article October jobs report a mixed bag
November 7 2022

Solid week of employment data keeps Fed aggressive.

July 5 2023
Equity .
Article

7 minute read

Last year's transitory is this year's pivot
November 4 2022

And it doesn't look like the Fed is planning one anytime soon.

November 17 2022
Equity .
Video Prepare for landing
October 28 2022

Investors may seek cover in value stocks.

October 28 2022
Equity .
Article Overstand, not understand
October 28 2022

Consider the big picture when assessing markets ... and life.

October 21 2022
Markets/Economy .
Article Bird of prey
October 21 2022

Hawkish Fed prompts us to lower our GDP growth estimates.

October 21 2022
Equity .
Video Wants versus needs
October 21 2022

Consumer staples come out on top.

October 17 2022
Markets/Economy .
Article Hope is not a process
October 17 2022

Investors bracing for a challenging third-quarter earnings season.

November 7 2022
Equity .
Video Last man standing
October 14 2022

Dividends hold up against volatility.

July 5 2023
Equity .
Article

7 minute read

Time heals all wounds
October 14 2022

This market has been in a bad place for some time.

July 5 2023
Markets/Economy .
Article

3 minute read

Ghosts and shadows
October 7 2022

Whether or not this bear market survives October, investors will face an unnerving environment.

October 7 2022
Equity .
Article Ten dollars for a dozen eggs
October 7 2022

The sun's not the only thing that's hot in Hawaii these days.

October 3 2022
Equity .
Article Trouble in paradise
September 30 2022

Disasters all over have markets on edge.

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