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10 minute read
6 minute read
The bullish stock market seems to be overlooking deteriorating fundamentals.
2 minute read
The Fed’s half-point rate cut shows it still thinks the economy can avoid a recession.
4 minute read
It's not flying like it would in a recession.
Four possible causes of the public's sour mood.
8 minute read
Reasons why we think the market will remain volatile and 'The Great Rotation' will continue.
And if so, into early-cycle small caps or late-cycle defensive dividend payers?
1 minute watch
The Fed is historically reticent to change policy before an election.
It could be years before the Fed reaches its 2% target.
Filling up at the pump matters to voters.
Can you guess the common threads in each of these four recent news categories?
If so, which decade are we reliving?
7 minute read
Next year looks far away from here.
3 minute read
The U.S. Treasury’s plan to buy back some of its securities should have many benefits.
Sticky inflation might slow the Fed, but not the timeliness of extending duration.
It depends on whom you ask.
The Fed may be dovish just by not being hawkish.
Does today’s soft jobs report successfully change the Fed's narrative?
The Fed's game plan hasn't changed, but defeating inflation will take longer than it expected.
Inflation, politics and the market's dyspepsia have investors on edge.
Geopolitics, seasonality, interest rates and stubborn inflation have all come calling.
5 minute read
Historically, the last leg toward a given inflation target has often been the most difficult.
I know you're waiting for that correction.
The market's having a party, but inflation's a guest that just won't leave.
The central bank hasn't cut and yet the market cheers.
Magnificent Seven continue to outperform.
2024 could be a great year if we navigate it right.
What's even better than a Goldilocks market?
Strong wage growth keeps Fed cuts off the bases.
Inflation data reminded us this week that we're not out of the woods yet.
Three things to watch in 2024.
Comparing the cost of becoming an adult across decades.
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