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6 minute read
School spending slows while inflation rises.
8 minute read
Data point in different directions.
5 minute read
Powell uses Jackson Hole keynote to reiterate Fed’s vigilance to lower inflation.
Fed may remain vigilant.
2 minute watch
The U.S. is likely already feeling the predicted “rocky landing.”
3 minute watch
High inflation hurts everyone.
Investors should watch corporate earnings.
A mild recession may be inevitable.
The consumer is between tough headwinds and promising tailwinds.
2 minute read
Higher-for-longer rates can be beneficial for dividend strategies.
3 minute read
The markets have finally listened to hawkish Fed speak.
Dichotomy between nominal and core inflation declines keeps Fed engaged.
That could determine if above- or below-average historical returns are likely.
7 minute read
Barring the emergence of more bullish data, we expect the Fed to pause rate hikes this year.
The Fed raised rates again, but hinted it soon might be time to take a breather.
With volatile markets ahead, stocks enter a period of limbo.
1 minute watch
Bond markets are caught in a variety of crosswinds.
The Federal Reserve’s dual function as regulator and policy-setter has been on display.
The Fed’s response to the collapse of SVB puts pressure on the Treasury and the FOMC decision next week.
U.S. equity and fixed-income markets are pointing in different directions.
4 minute read
Investors have begrudgingly capitulated to a still-hawkish Fed.
As long as Americans keep spending, higher for longer may rule the day.
Combined with persistent inflation, Fed likely to remain vigilant.
The Fed may pause this year, but a pivot is unlikely.
The economy is facing stronger headwinds than the markets realize.
Comparing the cost of becoming an adult across decades.
Signs suggest Europe’s economy might avoid a serious downturn.
Fundamentals suggest stocks could correct in the coming months before rallying into year-end.
The surge of hires in January likely keeps the Fed in hawk mode.
The market is dismissing the Fed's determination to defeat inflation.
Decent headline gross domestic product growth belies weakness in several core components.
Inflation cooling but labor market remains healthy.
Two market indicators suggest equities could enjoy a better year.
But the ISM services decline was a bigger story.
Three things to watch in 2023.
Consumers are showing restraint amid still-high inflation.
The Fed pushes back against market expectations.
A quick visit lifted spirits. Will Santa do the same for the markets?
45 minute listen
Silvia Dall’Angelo, Donald Ellenberger and Steve Chiavarone discuss global inflation and whether the markets have already priced in a recession.
College costs have soared.
The U.S. economy is slowing across the board.
The Fed can't like the strong job growth and surge in wages in November.
FOMC voters must stick to the data to make their next decision on rates.
Municipal securities have much to offer if the economy slows.
But it's a lot more expensive this year.
Many reasons for a rally but don't expect it to last.
Maybe everyone, including markets, could use a little boring.
A weakening dollar and other trends bode well for EM debt.
Solid week of employment data keeps Fed aggressive.
And it doesn't look like the Fed is planning one anytime soon.
Investors may seek cover in value stocks.
Consider the big picture when assessing markets ... and life.
Hawkish Fed prompts us to lower our GDP growth estimates.
Consumer staples come out on top.
Investors bracing for a challenging third-quarter earnings season.
Dividends hold up against volatility.
This market has been in a bad place for some time.
Whether or not this bear market survives October, investors will face an unnerving environment.
The sun's not the only thing that's hot in Hawaii these days.
Disasters all over have markets on edge.
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