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6 minute read
3 minute read
Homebuilding stocks are rising, and the housing market may be springing back too.
Fed easing means fixed-income investments should benefit from both factors of total return: price and income.
2 minute watch
The outlook for money market funds remains buoyant.
The data did not support the large cut, but the Fed did not want to seem behind the curve.
2 minute read
The Fed’s half-point rate cut shows it still thinks the economy can avoid a recession.
4 minute read
The markets’ first test is Friday’s August jobs report.
It's not flying like it would in a recession.
The predictive strength of the curve’s inversion has waned, but not disappeared.
1 minute watch
The Fed is historically reticent to change policy before an election.
Rates won’t be higher forever.
In fixed income, there’s quite a difference between current yield and yield-to-maturity.
Both Biden and Trump failed to address the Treasury’s debt at the debate.
Can you guess the common threads in each of these four recent news categories?
The small-cap opportunity investors have been waiting for may be at hand.
The Fed penciled in a cut this year even as it forecast higher inflation.
5 minute read
With the Fed on hold and tax collection over, assets resume flowing into liquidity products.
Global Market Snapshot
Sticky inflation might slow the Fed, but not the timeliness of extending duration.
8 minute read
Does today’s soft jobs report successfully change the Fed's narrative?
7 minute read
Geopolitics, seasonality, interest rates and stubborn inflation have all come calling.
I know you're waiting for that correction.
A healthy labor market coupled with productivity growth could be just the thing.
The central bank hasn't cut and yet the market cheers.
The Fed's dot plot held the intrigue at the FOMC meeting.
Magnificent Seven continue to outperform.
The Fed will look closely at inflation numbers before making any cuts.
Less fixated on the Fed, the market now focuses on the economy's resilience.
New investment-grade corporate bond issuance is pouring into the market.
In an economy like this, the Fed is in no hurry
Strong headline gains but a mixed picture beneath the surface.
The market continues to move higher, but more breadth would be welcome.
Labor market and consumer spending firm, while inflation rises.
What we got right…and wrong…in a volatile year.
Investors and markets differ in their expectations for rate cuts.
Three things to watch in 2024.
The Fed now projects rate cuts in 2024, just not as many as the markets have.
A decline in rates could boost the short end of the yield curve.
As the economy slows across the board, the Fed is done hiking rates.
The markets have swung too far by forecasting multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024.
The economy and markets can't take on much more debt without getting sick.
Despite high rates, the large amount of maturing debt in the coming years is not a crisis.
Financial markets rally on perceived Fed pause.
The Fed didn't hike. That doesn't mean it's done.
The Fed wants more time and data as it looks to December's meeting.
A surprisingly strong economy could mean higher for longer, longer
After weathering the storm, the housing market is poised to boost growth despite Fed headwinds.
Employment, inflation and bonds combine for twists and turns for the journey of Fed policy.
MBS issued by U.S. housing agencies could have advantages for investors if the economy slows.
Comparing the cost of becoming an adult across decades.
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